Hindsight & Stories ā We think events were predictable after they happen and create simple stories that ignore randomness.
Experts & Planning Fallacy ā Experts often get it wrong. We also underestimate how long things will take or how hard theyāll be.
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š A Clear, Simple Breakdown ā For First-Time Readers Understand how your mind really worksāand why it often tricks you.
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The term 'planning fallacy' was coined in 1977 and deals with how most of us are terrible at estimating how long a project will take. We are overly optimistic but terrible at predicting the future. If the project has a budget, we may underestimate that expense to...
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